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Significantly fewer people will be working in Saxony in 2035

As more and more salaried employees retire, their number in Saxony will fall by almost a third over the next few years. The decline is particularly severe in the Vogtland region.
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In the Vogtland district (the Elstertal bridge is pictured), the number of employees subject to social insurance contributions will fall by almost 36 percent by 2035. © kairospress

From Ulrich Wolf

Kamenz. The number of people in work in Saxony is expected to fall by a good third by 2035. This forecast was announced by the State Statistical Office in Kamenz on Tuesday.

According to this, around 1.65 million people had jobs subject to social insurance contributions in Saxony at the end of 2022. Twelve of those now at least 52 years old will retire in the coming years. This would lead to a decline in the number of people in employment in the Free State by an estimated 32 percent. By 2030, the state office already expects a decline of 19 percent.

This is the forecast for Saxony's regions

According to the statisticians, the development will vary greatly from region to region. The decline up to 2035 will be smallest in the independent cities of Dresden and Leipzig at around 27 percent. In Chemnitz the decline would already amount to almost 31 percent. In the districts of eastern Saxony, the decline in the number of employees ranges from 33 percent in the district of Sächsische Schweiz-Osterzgebirge to 34.7 percent in the district of Bautzen. The largest losses of employees will probably be in the district of Mittelsachsen (-35.3 %), in the district of Leipzig (-35.6 %) as well as in the Vogtlandkreis (-35.8 %).

At the municipal level, the forecast only extends to 2030, by which time the municipality of Bergen in the Vogtland region will be particularly hard hit, losing almost 37 percent of the total of only 38 jobs subject to social insurance contributions there. In eastern Saxony, Ostritz, Schöpstal, Räckelwitz, Horka, Röderaue, Trebendorf and Boxberg are also among the losing municipalities, with declines of more than 30 percent.

The municipality of Beiersdorf in the district of Görlitz leads the ranking with the lowest proportion of losses: There, only a good twelve percent of the current workforce will be lost by 2030. In second place is Kreischa near Dresden (-12.4 %), in third place Schkeuditz (-13.5 %). Among the municipalities with relatively unchanged employment rates are Kodersdorf, Wachau, Oppach, Bernsdorf and Neißeaue from eastern Saxony.

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